Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=1645752
 


 



The Timing of Daily Demand for Goods and Services - Microsimulation Policy Results of an Aging Society, Increasing Labour Market Flexibility, and Extended Public Childcare in Germany


Rafael Rucha


Research Institute on Professions

Dominik Hanglberger


Leuphana Universität Lüneburg

Joachim Merz


Research Institute on Professions; Leuphana Universität Lüneburg; Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

June 2010

Journal of Consumer Policy, Vol. 33, No. 2, pp. 119-141, June 2010

Abstract:     
Knowledge about the timing of consumption opens new insights into consumption behaviour for consumer, economic, social, as well as for communal and societal policies. It not only allows sound information for a better match of timely supply and demand but also about everyday living arrangements. This study contributes to the timing aspect of daily consumption by posing the question: How is the timing of daily demand for goods and services affected by major changes in German society? We concentrate on important and currently discussed developments and policies: the huge shift in Germany’s demographic structure with an aging society (with a population forecast for 2020 by the German Federal Statistical Office), the deregulation and the further expansion in flexibility of the labour market, and the current policy of extending public childcare support. For each aspect and policy, we first describe the actual timing of daily demand for goods and services. With the microsimulation approach and different scenarios, we then quantify the respective societal and policy impacts based on more than 37 000 time-use diaries of the current German Time Budget Survey of 2001/2002.

Keywords: Timing of daily demand, Consumer policy analysis by microsimulation, Aging society, Flexible working hours, Public childcare support

JEL Classification: J29, R22, C15

Accepted Paper Series


Not Available For Download

Date posted: July 27, 2010  

Suggested Citation

Rucha, Rafael and Hanglberger, Dominik and Merz, Joachim, The Timing of Daily Demand for Goods and Services - Microsimulation Policy Results of an Aging Society, Increasing Labour Market Flexibility, and Extended Public Childcare in Germany (June 2010). Journal of Consumer Policy, Vol. 33, No. 2, pp. 119-141, June 2010. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1645752

Contact Information

Rafael Rucha
Research Institute on Professions ( email )
Lüneburg
Germany
Dominik Hanglberger
Leuphana Universität Lüneburg ( email )
Scharnhorststrasse 1
Lüneburg, 21314
Germany
Joachim Merz (Contact Author)
Research Institute on Professions ( email )
Lüneburg
Germany
Leuphana Universität Lüneburg
Scharnhorststrasse 1
Lüneburg, 21314
Germany
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany
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