Cross-Market Trading in China’s Large State-Owned Commercial Banks
Richard C. K. Burdekin
Claremont McKenna College - Robert Day School
Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC
September 1, 2010
Robert Day School of Economics and Finance Research Paper No. 2010-05
This paper examines the differential between the share prices of China’s large state-owned commercial banks traded in Shanghai vs. prices observed in Hong Kong. We find a significant role for investor sentiment, as reflected in relative price-earnings ratios, in explaining these price differentials for all four banks. The share price in Shanghai tends to move ahead of the share price in Hong Kong when rising local sentiment makes investors in Shanghai willing to pay more for the same predicted earnings. We also identify co-movement in relative bank price-earnings ratios across the two markets plus some co-determination in the price differentials.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 24
Keywords: China, Shanghai, Hong Kong, commercial banks, share prices, sentiment
JEL Classification: G14, G15
Date posted: October 17, 2010
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