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The Cross-Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk


Hanno N. Lustig


UCLA - Anderson School of Management; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Adrien Verdelhan


Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

August 1, 2006

Banque de France Working Paper No. NER-R 155

Abstract:     
Aggregate consumption growth risk explains why low interest rate currencies do not appreciate as much as the interest rate differential and why high interest rate currencies do not depreciate as much as the interest rate differential. Domestic investors earn negative excess returns on low interest rate currency portfolios and positive excess returns on high interest rate currency portfolios. Because high interest rate currencies depreciate on average when domestic consumption growth is low and low interest rate currencies appreciate under the same conditions, low interest rate currencies provide domestic investors with a hedge against domestic aggregate consumption growth risk.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 62

Keywords: Exchange Rates, Asset Pricing

JEL Classification: F31, G12

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Date posted: October 25, 2010  

Suggested Citation

Lustig, Hanno N. and Verdelhan, Adrien, The Cross-Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk (August 1, 2006). Banque de France Working Paper No. NER-R 155. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1697648 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1697648

Contact Information

Hanno N. Lustig (Contact Author)
UCLA - Anderson School of Management ( email )
405 Hilgard Avenue
Box 951361
Los Angeles, CA 90095
United States
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
Adrien Verdelhan
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management ( email )
77 Massachusetts Ave.
E62-369
Cambridge, MA 02142
United States
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) ( email )
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
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