Are Prediction Markets More Accurate than Simple Surveys?
Ludwig Maximilians University of Munich - Department of Communication Science and Media Research
FORESIGHT: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Forthcoming
In this new installment of the prediction markets column, Andreas Graefe summarizes the evidence he has uncovered on whether the design and implementation of a prediction market is worth the extra cost and effort involved, compared to a simple survey of the judgment of key individuals.
JEL Classification: COO, C2Accepted Paper Series
Date posted: November 26, 2010
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