Land Leverage and House Prices
University of Geneva - Geneva School of Economics and Management (GSEM); University of Aberdeen - Business School; Swiss Finance Institute; University of Geneva - Geneva Finance Research Institute
Steven C. Bourassa
Florida Atlantic University
affiliation not provided to SSRN
University of Louisville - School of Urban & Public Affairs
November 29, 2010
46th Annual AREUEA Conference Paper
A house is a bundle of land and improvements, with the weights of the two components varying both over time and across locations. We capture the land intensity or leverage of a property by measuring the ratio of land to total value. This is accomplished using transactions data for single-family homes in Switzerland over the period 1978 to 2008. We show how to use hedonic models to develop time series of land prices and land leverage. Then we estimate error correction models for both house prices and land leverage. We show the importance of incorporating land leverage when assessing the determinants of house prices. House price changes are shown to be affected by changes in land leverage, real GDP per capita, growth of the population aged 30 to 49, and the term spread, while land leverage changes are a function of changes in real GDP per capita, in real construction costs, and in the term spread.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 42
JEL Classification: R3
Date posted: December 1, 2010
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