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The Maturity Rat RaceMarkus K. BrunnermeierPrinceton University - Department of Economics Martin OehmkeColumbia Business School - Finance and Economics December 2010 NBER Working Paper No. w16607 Abstract: We develop a model of endogenous maturity structure for financial institutions that borrow from multiple creditors. We show that a maturity rat race can occur: an individual creditor can have an incentive to shorten the maturity of his own loan to the institution, allowing him to adjust his financing terms or pull out before other creditors can. This, in turn, causes all other lenders to shorten their maturity as well, leading to excessively short-term financing. This rat race occurs when interim information is mostly about the probability of default rather than the recovery in default, and is most pronounced during volatile periods and crises. Overall, firms are exposed to unnecessary rollover risk. Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 38 working papers seriesDate posted: December 18, 2010Suggested CitationContact Information
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