Testing for Weak Instruments in Linear IV Regression
James H. Stock
Harvard University - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
September 10, 2004
IDENTIFICATION AND INFERENCE FOR ECONOMETRIC MODELS: ESSAYS IN HONOR OF THOMAS ROTHENBERG, 2005
Weak instruments can produce biased IV estimators and hypothesis tests with large size distortions. But what, precisely, are weak instruments, and how does one detect them in practice? This paper proposes quantitative definitions of weak instruments based on the maximum IV estimator bias, or the maximum Wald test size distortion, when there are multiple endogenous regressors. We tabulate critical values that enable using the first-stage F-statistic (or, when there are multiple endogenous regressors, the Cragg-Donald  statistic) to test whether the given instruments are weak.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 48
JEL Classification: C01
Date posted: January 7, 2011 ; Last revised: July 31, 2013
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