|
|
|
|
||||
|
||||
How Much Trouble is Early Foul Trouble? Strategically Idling Resources in the NBAAllan MayminAllianceBernstein Philip MayminNYU Poly - Department of Finance and Risk Engineering Eugene ShenAllianceBernstein February 21, 2012 NYU Poly Research Paper Abstract: We analyze a large and comprehensive play-by-play dataset of professional games in the National Basketball Association using tools from financial economics to explore the optimality of strategically idling resources in the face of uncertain future demand. We find that starters ought to be idled by the coach on a "Q 1" basis, meaning that a starter has one more foul than the current quarter, when the future option value is high or the value of the replacement player is high. We use a novel win-probability approach that can be easily extended to other applications.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 24 Keywords: Basketball, Sports, NBA, Win Probability, Fouls, Foul Trouble, Strategic Idling JEL Classification: L83, G19 working papers seriesDate posted: January 8, 2011 ; Last revised: February 22, 2012Suggested CitationContact Information
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
© 2013 Social Science Electronic Publishing, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
FAQ
Terms of Use
Privacy Policy
Copyright
This page was processed by apollo5 in 0.657 seconds
