Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=1736633
 
 

References (20)



 


 



How Much Trouble is Early Foul Trouble? Strategically Idling Resources in the NBA


Allan Maymin


AllianceBernstein

Philip Maymin


NYU Poly - Department of Finance and Risk Engineering

Eugene Shen


AllianceBernstein

February 21, 2012

NYU Poly Research Paper

Abstract:     
We analyze a large and comprehensive play-by-play dataset of professional games in the National Basketball Association using tools from financial economics to explore the optimality of strategically idling resources in the face of uncertain future demand. We find that starters ought to be idled by the coach on a "Q 1" basis, meaning that a starter has one more foul than the current quarter, when the future option value is high or the value of the replacement player is high. We use a novel win-probability approach that can be easily extended to other applications.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 24

Keywords: Basketball, Sports, NBA, Win Probability, Fouls, Foul Trouble, Strategic Idling

JEL Classification: L83, G19

working papers series





Download This Paper

Date posted: January 8, 2011 ; Last revised: February 22, 2012

Suggested Citation

Maymin, Allan and Maymin, Philip and Shen, Eugene, How Much Trouble is Early Foul Trouble? Strategically Idling Resources in the NBA (February 21, 2012). NYU Poly Research Paper. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1736633 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1736633

Contact Information

Allan Maymin
AllianceBernstein ( email )
1345 Avenue of the Americas
New York, NY 10105
United States
Philip Maymin (Contact Author)
NYU Poly - Department of Finance and Risk Engineering ( email )
Brooklyn, NY 11201
United States

Eugene Shen
AllianceBernstein ( email )
1345 Avenue of the Americas
New York, NY 10105
United States
Feedback to SSRN


Paper statistics
Abstract Views: 7,245
Downloads: 797
Download Rank: 16,528
References:  20

© 2014 Social Science Electronic Publishing, Inc. All Rights Reserved.  FAQ   Terms of Use   Privacy Policy   Copyright   Contact Us
This page was processed by apollo7 in 0.297 seconds