Predicting Drift on Politically Insulated Institutions: A Study of Ideological Drift on the United States Supreme Court
Ryan J. Owens
University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Political Science
University of Kentucky - Department of Political Science
December 29, 2010
We examine whether policymakers can predict whether nominees to the Supreme Court will drift ideologically. We analyze the pre-nomination speeches, articles, and separate opinions published by every justice who served at least ten years on the Court. Our data show that we can indeed predict whether a nominee will drift ideologically once on the Court.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 46
Keywords: Supreme Court nominations, ideological drift
Date posted: January 12, 2011 ; Last revised: August 28, 2011
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