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Predicting Drift on Politically Insulated Institutions: A Study of Ideological Drift on the United States Supreme Court


Ryan J. Owens


University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Political Science

Justin Wedeking


University of Kentucky - Dept. of Political Science
December 29, 2010


Abstract:     
We examine whether policymakers can predict whether nominees to the Supreme Court will drift ideologically. We analyze the pre-nomination speeches, articles, and separate opinions published by every justice who served at least ten years on the Court. Our data show that we can indeed predict whether a nominee will drift ideologically once on the Court.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 46

Keywords: Supreme Court nominations, ideological drift

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Date posted: January 12, 2011 ; Last revised: August 28, 2011

Suggested Citation

Owens, Ryan J. and Wedeking, Justin, Predicting Drift on Politically Insulated Institutions: A Study of Ideological Drift on the United States Supreme Court (December 29, 2010). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1738309 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1738309

Contact Information

Ryan J. Owens (Contact Author)
University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Political Science ( email )
406 North Hall
1050 Bascom Mall
Madison, WI 53706
United States
608-263-2279 (Phone)
HOME PAGE: http://law.wisc.edu/profiles/rjowens@wisc.edu
Justin Wedeking
University of Kentucky - Dept. of Political Science ( email )
1615 Patterson Office Tower
University of Kentucky
Lexington, KY 40506-0027
United States
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