References (31)



Preventing Crime Through Selective Incapacitation

Ben Vollaard

TILEC, Tilburg University; CentER, Tilburg University

January 12, 2011

TILEC Discussion Paper No. 2011-001
CentER Discussion Paper No. 2010-141

Making the length of a prison sentence conditional on an individual’s offense history is shown to be a powerful way of preventing crime. Under a law adopted in the Netherlands in 2001, prolific offenders could be sentenced to a prison term that was some ten times longer than usual. We exploit quasi-experimental variation in the moment of introduction and the frequency of application across 12 urban areas to identify the effect. We find the sentence enhancements to have dramatically reduced theft rates. The size of the crime-reducing effect is found to be subject to sharply diminishing returns.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 52

Keywords: prolific offenders, incarceration, selective incapacitation, three strikes laws

JEL Classification: K42, K14

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Date posted: January 12, 2011 ; Last revised: January 27, 2011

Suggested Citation

Vollaard, Ben, Preventing Crime Through Selective Incapacitation (January 12, 2011). CentER Discussion Paper No. 2010-141. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1738900 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1738900

Contact Information

Ben Vollaard (Contact Author)
TILEC, Tilburg University ( email )
Warandelaan 2
Tilburg, 5000 LE
HOME PAGE: http://www.tilburguniversity.edu/webwijs/show/?uid=b.a.vollaard
CentER, Tilburg University ( email )
P.O. Box 90153
Tilburg, 5000 LE
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