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Booms and Busts: New Keynesian and Behavioral Explanations


Paul De Grauwe


London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE); CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

December 30, 2010

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3293

Abstract:     
Capitalism is characterized by booms and busts. Periods of strong growth in output alternate with periods of declines in economic growth. Every macro-economic theory should attempt to explain these endemic business cycle movements. In this paper I present two paradigms that attempt to explain these booms and busts. One is the DSGE-paradigm in which agents have unlimited cognitive abilities. The other paradigm is a behavioural one in which agents are assumed to have limited cognitive abilities. These two types of models produce a radically different macroeconomic dynamics. I analyze these differences. I also study the different policy implications of these two paradigms.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 38

Keywords: DSGE-model, imperfect information, heuristics, animal spirits

JEL Classification: E10, E32, D83

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Date posted: January 14, 2011  

Suggested Citation

De Grauwe, Paul, Booms and Busts: New Keynesian and Behavioral Explanations (December 30, 2010). CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3293. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1739563

Contact Information

Paul De Grauwe (Contact Author)
London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) ( email )
Houghton Street
London, WC2A 2AE
United Kingdom
CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research)
Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany
Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
77 Bastwick Street
London, EC1V 3PZ
United Kingdom
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