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Which Factors Safeguard Employment? An Analysis with Misclassified German Register Data


Laura Wichert


Deutsche Bundesbank - Economics Department; University of Konstanz - Department of Economics

Ralf A. Wilke


University of York (UK); Center for European Economic Research (ZEW); Policy Studies Institute (PSI)

December 2010

FDZ-Methodenreport No. 11/2010

Abstract:     
We analyse the main determinants for job separation with transition to unemployment using individual administrative data from Germany. While the sample size is large and the information in target variables is often highly accurate, non-target variables are subject to considerable measurement error due to a lack of relevance for the data generating process. We show that the high degree of misclassification can even persist after comprehensive logical editing and imputation rules were applied. We find that the measurement error has a sizable effect on our estimation results. Long tenure rather than a higher educational qualification appears to be the key ingredient for a safe job in Germany.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 34

Keywords: unemployment risk, nonclassical measurement error, MC-SIMEX

JEL Classification: C81, J63

working papers series


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Date posted: January 23, 2011  

Suggested Citation

Wichert, Laura and Wilke, Ralf A., Which Factors Safeguard Employment? An Analysis with Misclassified German Register Data (December 2010). FDZ-Methodenreport No. 11/2010. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1743492 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1743492

Contact Information

Laura Wichert
Deutsche Bundesbank - Economics Department ( email )
Wilhelm-Epstein-Strasse 14
60431 Frankfurt am Main
Germany
University of Konstanz - Department of Economics ( email )
Konstanz, D-78457
Germany
Ralf A. Wilke (Contact Author)
University of York (UK) ( email )
Department of Economics and Related Studies
Heslington, York YO10 5DD
United Kingdom
Center for European Economic Research (ZEW) ( email )
P.O. Box 10 34 43
L 7,1 D-68161 Mannheim
Germany
Policy Studies Institute (PSI) ( email )
London NW1 3SR
United Kingdom
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