Measurement Without Theory: A Response to Bailey and Collins
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Economics
University of Southern California - Department of Economics
February 11, 2011
Bailey and Collins (forth.) argue that Greenwood, Seshadri and Vandenbroucke (2005)'s hypothesis that the baby boom was partly due to a burst of productivity in the household sector is not supported by evidence. This conclusion is based upon regression results showing that appliance ownership is negatively correlated with fertility. They also argue that the Amish, who limit the use of modern technology, had a baby boom. First, it is demonstrated that a negative correlation between appliance ownership and fertility can arise naturally in Greenwood et al.'s model. Second, evidence is presented casting doubt upon the presumed technological phobia of the Amish.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 10
Keywords: Amish, Appliances, Baby Boom, Bailey and Collins, Fertility, Model Laboratory, Monte Carlo Simulations, Regressions
JEL Classification: E13, J13, N32working papers series
Date posted: February 14, 2011
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