Systematic Risk and the Cross-Section of Hedge Fund Returns
Turan G. Bali
Georgetown University - Robert Emmett McDonough School of Business
Stephen J. Brown
New York University - Stern School of Business
Mustafa O. Caglayan
This paper investigates the extent to which market risk, residual risk, and tail risk explain the cross sectional dispersion in hedge fund returns. The paper introduces a comprehensive measure of systematic risk (SR) for individual hedge funds by breaking up total risk into systematic and fund specific or residual risk components. Contrary to the popular understanding that hedge funds are ‘market neutral’ we find that systematic risk is a highly significant factor explaining the dispersion of cross-sectional returns while at the same time measures of residual risk and tail risk seem to have little explanatory power. Funds in the highest SR quintile generate 6% more average annual returns compared to funds in the lowest SR quintile. After controlling for a large set of fund characteristics and risk factors, systematic risk remains positive and highly significant, whereas the relation between residual risk and future fund returns continues to be insignificant. Hence, systematic risk is a powerful determinant of the cross-sectional differences in hedge fund returns.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 38
Keywords: hedge funds, systematic risk, time-varying risk, return predictability
JEL Classification: G10, G11, C13
Date posted: March 9, 2011 ; Last revised: February 27, 2012
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