Inflation Expectations and the Great Recession

Abstract:     
This article examines whether short-run inflation expectations and indicators of longterm credibility have been affected by the great recession and by the policies to counter it. Measures of short-run expectations dropped in the crisis, particularly in advanced economies, but have since rebounded. Measures of long-run inflation expectations have in general fluctuated around a relatively stable level, suggesting continued central bank credibility. At the same time, dispersion and uncertainty measures of long-term inflation expectations are somewhat higher than before the crisis, raising questions about how firmly expectations are anchored.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 13

JEL Classification: E31, E52

Accepted Paper Series