Credit Default Swaps and the Market for Sovereign Debt
Pace University - Lubin School of Business
University of Waterloo
April 30, 2013
Journal of Banking and Finance, Forthcoming
We analyze the determinants and effects of credit default swap (CDS) trading initiation on sovereign bonds. For high default risk countries, CDS initiation provides significant price efficiency benefits in the underlying market. CDS initiation also reduces average risk premiums, with reductions in borrowing costs likewise increasing with default risk. CDS trading initiation is more likely following increases in local equity index volatility, the volatility risk premium, or index spreads for regional or global CDS markets and decreases in a country’s ability to service foreign debt. Our results are robust to selection bias controls based on these factors.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 53
Keywords: sovereign bond, market efficiency, borrowing costs, credit default swap, credit derivative
JEL Classification: G12, G14, G15, G20
Date posted: March 16, 2011 ; Last revised: October 30, 2014
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