A Tale of Two Countries: Emissions Scenarios for China and India
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) & Euro-Mediterranean Center for Climate Change; Yale University - School of Forestry and Environmental Studies; CMCC - Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change
March 16, 2011
FEEM Working Paper No. 24.2011
CMCC Research Paper No. 105
The aim of the paper is to present evidence that China and India are, and will remain, two very different actors in international negotiations to control global warming. We base our conclusions on historical data and on scenarios until 2050. The Business-as-Usual scenario (BaU) is compared to four Emissions Tax scenarios to draw insights on major transformations in energy use and in energy supply and to assess the possible contribution of China and India to a future international climate architecture. We study whether or not the Copenhagen intensity targets require more action than the BaU scenario and we assess whether the emissions reductions induced by the four tax scenarios are compatible with the G8 and MEF pledge to reduce global emissions by 50% in 2050.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 25
Keywords: Climate Change, China, India, Energy Efficiency, Energy and Development
JEL Classification: Q32, Q43, Q54, Q43, O53, P52working papers series
Date posted: March 19, 2011 ; Last revised: April 22, 2011
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