Steroids and Home Runs
Arthur S. De Vany
University of California
March 17, 2011
Economic Inquiry, Vol. 49, Issue 2, pp. 489-511, 2011
There has been no change in Major League Baseball home run hitting for 45 yr, in spite of the new records. Players hit with no more power now than before. Records are the result of chance variations in at bats, home runs per hit, and other factors. The clustering of records is implied by the intermittency of the law of home runs. Home runs follow a stable Paretian distribution with infinite variance. The shape and scale of the distribution have not changed over the years. The greatest home run hitters are as rare as great scientists, artists, or composers.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 23
JEL Classification: A10, C02, C16, C52, L51
Date posted: March 21, 2011
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