Inflation Variability and the Relationship between Inflation and Growth

Abstract:     
We examine the effect of inflation variability and economic growth using annual historical data on both developing and developed countries. The data cover 182 developing countries and 31 developed countries for the period 1961-2009. Proxying inflation variability by the five-year coefficient of variation of inflation, we obtain the following results: (1) For developing countries, there is significant evidence to suggest that when the rate of inflation exceeds 10% inflation variability has a negative effect on economic growth. (2) For developed countries, there is no significant evidence that inflation variability is detrimental to growth.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 22

Keywords: Inflation, Growth, Threshold, Variablity

JEL Classification: C51, E31, E58, O40

working papers series