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Does Parental Education Affect Fertility? Evidence from Pre-Demographic Transition Prussia


Sascha O. Becker


University of Warwick; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research); Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA); Ifo Institute for Economic Research

Francesco Cinnirella


CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research) - Ifo Institute for Economic Research

Ludger Woessmann


Ifo Institute for Economic Research; Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA); CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research); University of Munich - Ifo Institute for Economic Research

April 29, 2011

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3430

Abstract:     
While women’s employment opportunities, relative wages, and the child quantity‐quality trade‐off have been studied as factors underlying historical fertility limitation, the role of parental education has received little attention. We combine Prussian county data from three censuses - 1816, 1849, and 1867 - to estimate the relationship between women’s education and their fertility before the demographic transition. Despite controlling for several demand and supply factors, we find a negative residual effect of women’s education on fertility. Instrumental‐variable estimates, using exogenous variation in women’s education driven by differences in landownership inequality, suggest that the effect of women’s education on fertility is causal.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 38

Keywords: demographic transition, female education, fertility, nineteenth century Prussia

JEL Classification: N330, J130, J240

working papers series


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Date posted: May 4, 2011  

Suggested Citation

Becker, Sascha O., Cinnirella, Francesco and Woessmann, Ludger, Does Parental Education Affect Fertility? Evidence from Pre-Demographic Transition Prussia (April 29, 2011). CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3430. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1831121

Contact Information

Sascha O. Becker
University of Warwick ( email )
Gibbet Hill Rd.
Coventry, West Midlands CV4 8UW
United Kingdom
Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
77 Bastwick Street
London, EC1V 3PZ
United Kingdom
CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research)
Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany
HOME PAGE: http://sobecker.de
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany
Ifo Institute for Economic Research
Munich
Germany
Francesco Cinnirella (Contact Author)
CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research) - Ifo Institute for Economic Research ( email )
Poschingerstrasse 5
Munich, 81679
Germany
Ludger Woessmann
Ifo Institute for Economic Research ( email )
Poschingerstr. 5
Munich
Germany
++49 89 9224 1699 (Phone)
++49 89 9224 1460 (Fax)
HOME PAGE: http://www.cesifo.de/link/woessmann_l.htm
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany
CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research)
Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany
University of Munich - Ifo Institute for Economic Research
Schackstr. 4
Munich, 80539
Germany
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