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Predicting Older Age Mortality Trends


Dora L. Costa


University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Joanna Lahey


Texas A&M University - George Bush School of Government and Public Service
May 23, 2004

Journal of the European Economic Association, April-May 2004

Abstract:     
Improving early prenatal and postnatal conditions account for at least 16 to 17 percent of the decline in ten year mortality rates of 60-79 year olds between 1900 and 1960-80. Historical trends in early prenatal and postnatal conditions imply that while the baby-boom cohort may be particularly long-lived compared to past cohorts, mortality rates may not fall as steeply for the cohorts born after 1955 as for earlier cohorts.

Keywords: cohort, mortality, oldest old, Barker

JEL Classification: J15, N31

Accepted Paper Series


Date posted: May 26, 2011  

Suggested Citation

Costa, Dora L. and Lahey, Joanna, Predicting Older Age Mortality Trends (May 23, 2004). Journal of the European Economic Association, April-May 2004. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1850967

Contact Information

Dora L. Costa
University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Department of Economics ( email )
Box 951477
Los Angeles, CA 90095-1477
United States
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
Joanna Lahey (Contact Author)
Texas A&M University (TAMU) - George Bush School of Government and Public Service ( email )
College Station, TX 77843
United States
Feedback to SSRN (Beta)


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