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Commitment vs. Discretion in the UK: An Empirical Investigation of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Regime


Tatiana Kirsanova


University of Glasgow

Stephanus Daniel Le Roux


NIESR; Government of the United Kingdom - Department for Work and Pensions

March 16, 2013


Abstract:     
This paper investigates the conduct of monetary and fiscal policy in the post-ERM period in the UK. Using a simple DSGE New Keynesian model of non-cooperative monetary and fiscal policy interactions under fiscal intra-period leadership, we demonstrate that the past policy in the UK is better explained by optimal policy under discretion than under commitment. We estimate policy objectives of both policy makers. We demonstrate that fiscal policy plays an important role in identifying the monetary policy regime.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 58

Keywords: Monetary and Fiscal Policy, Commitment, Discretion, Macroeconomic Stabilisation, Bayesian Estimation

JEL Classification: E52, E61, E63

working papers series


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Date posted: June 19, 2011 ; Last revised: March 18, 2013

Suggested Citation

Kirsanova, Tatiana and Le Roux, Stephanus Daniel, Commitment vs. Discretion in the UK: An Empirical Investigation of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Regime (March 16, 2013). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1865456 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1865456

Contact Information

Tatiana Kirsanova (Contact Author)
University of Glasgow ( email )
Glasgow, Scotland G12 8LE
United Kingdom
Stephanus Daniel Le Roux
NIESR ( email )
2 Dean Trench Street
Smith Square
London, SW1P 3HE
United Kingdom
02076541946 (Phone)
HOME PAGE: http://www.niesr.ac.uk/staff/staffdetail.php?StaffID=323
Government of the United Kingdom - Department for Work and Pensions ( email )
London SW1A 2AA
United Kingdom
Feedback to SSRN (Beta)


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