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Dividend Policy Irrelevancy and the Construct of Earnings


Zhan Gao


Lancaster University

James A. Ohlson


New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business; New York University (NYU) - Department of Accounting, Taxation & Business Law

Adam J. Ostaszewski


London School of Economics

January 6, 2013

Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Forthcoming

Abstract:     
This paper analyzes the characteristics of earnings in valuation settings where the dividend policy is irrelevant to equity value. The paper first demonstrates an equivalent characterization of dividend policy irrelevancy (DPI) in a general linear dynamic. It then proceeds to show how DPI leads to ideal and practical constructs of earnings and examines their analytical properties. We further demonstrate that earnings properties can be used to deduce the core approach in practical equity valuation — namely, measures of growth in expected earnings explain the price to forward earnings ratio. However, unlike dividends, free cash flow cannot generally be claimed to be irrelevant to value.

Keywords: equity valuation, information dynamics, dividend policy, earnings

JEL Classification: M41, G12, G14

Accepted Paper Series


Date posted: June 23, 2011 ; Last revised: January 10, 2013

Suggested Citation

Gao, Zhan, Ohlson, James A. and Ostaszewski, Adam J., Dividend Policy Irrelevancy and the Construct of Earnings (January 6, 2013). Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1869998 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1869998

Contact Information

Zhan Gao (Contact Author)
Lancaster University ( email )
Lancaster LA1 4YX
United Kingdom
44-1524-593-151 (Phone)
James A. Ohlson
New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business ( email )
44 West 4th Street
New York, NY NY 10012
United States
New York University (NYU) - Department of Accounting, Taxation & Business Law ( email )
40 West 4th Street
Tisch Hall - Suite 433
New York, NY 10012
United States
212-998-0065 (Phone)
212-995-4004 (Fax)
Adam J. Ostaszewski
London School of Economics ( email )
Houghton Street
GB-London WC2A 2AE
United Kingdom
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