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The Longer-Term Effects of Human Capital Enrichment Programs on Poverty and Inequality: Oportunidades in MexicoDouglas McKeeaffiliation not provided to SSRN Petra ToddUniversity of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) June 1, 2011 Estudios de Economía, Vol. 38, No. 1, p. 67, 2011 Abstract: Previous empirical research has shown that Mexico’s Oportunidades program has succeeded in increasing schooling and improving health of disadvantaged children. This paper studies the program’s potential longer-term consequences for the poverty and inequality of these children. It adapts methods developed in DiNardo, Fortin and Lemieux (1996) and incorporates existing experimental estimates of the program’s effects on human capital to analyze how Oportunidades will affect future earnings of program participants. We nonparametrically simulate earnings distributions, with and without the program, and predict that Oportunidades will increase future mean earnings but have only modest effects on poverty rates and earnings inequality.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 34 Keywords: Oportunidades, Human capital, Schooling, Health, Poverty, Inequality JEL Classification: H50, I00, J24, O12, O54, O15 Accepted Paper SeriesDate posted: July 3, 2011Suggested CitationContact Information
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