Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=1891796
 
 

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When Does Ethnic Diversity Lead to Violence? Evidence from the 2007 Elections in Kenya


Thomas Markussen


University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics

Kitavi Mbuvi


Kenya Institute of Education

July 21, 2011

University of Copenhagen Dept. of Economics Discussion Paper No. 11-19

Abstract:     
Exploiting a district level data set on the 2007/8 post-election violence in Kenya, this paper investigates why polarization between ethnic groups results in violent conflict in some cases, but not in others. After the announcement of highly controversial election results in December 2007, ethnic-based violence erupted in many parts of Kenya. Violence occurred more often and with greater intensity in areas characterized by a high level of polarization between the Kikuyu ethnic group and other ethnic communities. At the same time, in several districts with a very high level of Kikuyu-non-Kikuyu polarization, only few and sporadic incidences of violence occurred. The paper attempts to explain why in areas with similar levels of ethnic polarization, a flawed election process produced so different reactions. Results suggest that the main triggers of ethnic violence were poverty, unemployment among young males, and deteriorating public services. On the other hand, there is little evidence that clashes resulted from land inequality, land pressure or political competition.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 35

Keywords: Conflict, ethnicity, poverty, unemployment, public services, Kenya

JEL Classification: D74, H4, J6, O55

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Date posted: August 3, 2011  

Suggested Citation

Markussen, Thomas and Mbuvi, Kitavi, When Does Ethnic Diversity Lead to Violence? Evidence from the 2007 Elections in Kenya (July 21, 2011). University of Copenhagen Dept. of Economics Discussion Paper No. 11-19. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1891796 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1891796

Contact Information

Thomas Markussen (Contact Author)
University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics ( email )
Copenhagen University Library
Licenssekretariatet Nørre Alle 49
DK-2200 Copenhagen N.
Denmark
Kitavi Mbuvi
Kenya Institute of Education ( email )
P.O. Box 30231
Desai Road, off Muranga Road
Nairobi, 00100
Kenya
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