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Contracts, Biases and Consumption of Access Services


Stephen Leider


University of Michigan - Stephen M. Ross School of Business

Ozge Sahin


Johns Hopkins University

September 27, 2011

Ross School of Business Paper

Abstract:     
We consider a consumer consumption model that takes into account the valuation and demand uncertainties that consumers face while using access services. Typical examples of such services include extended warranties for consumer electronics, club memberships, and telecommunication services. Recent research shows that the consumer’s consumption is affected by the structure of the contract (i.e. two part vs. three part tariffs) although ex ante the contracts result in the same consumption and expected utility. This suggests that consumers experience biases while maximizing their utility from the consumption of access services. Identifying biases that derive this consumption behavior has important ramifications for marketing and optimal contract design. We study consumption models that take into account behavioral aspects of decision making and test these models with a set of laboratory experiments. We find that a majority of individuals correctly use a threshold policy, however they use their initial allotment of free units too quickly. These errors appear to be partially driven by mistaken beliefs about the value distribution that leads subjects to underestimate the value of future consumption opportunities. We also measure subjects’ willingness to pay for a contract with free access units, and we find that nearly half of subjects are willing to pay at least the full per-unit price, with a substantial fraction willing to overpay. The optimal firm strategy is therefore to offer a contract that presells access units at a very small discount; this strategy increases revenue by 8-15% compared to only offering a pay-per-use contract.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 41

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Date posted: July 26, 2011 ; Last revised: September 28, 2011

Suggested Citation

Leider, Stephen and Sahin, Ozge, Contracts, Biases and Consumption of Access Services (September 27, 2011). Ross School of Business Paper. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1895468 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1895468

Contact Information

Stephen Leider (Contact Author)
University of Michigan - Stephen M. Ross School of Business ( email )
701 Tappan Street
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States
HOME PAGE: http://www-personal.umich.edu/~leider/
Ozge Sahin
Johns Hopkins University ( email )
100 International Drive
Baltimore, MD 21231
United States
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