Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=1901768
 


 



Swing Voters or Core Partisans? Ideological Groups and the Vote for President, 1960-2008


Hovannes Abramyan


University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Department of Political Science; affiliation not provided to SSRN

2011

APSA 2011 Annual Meeting Paper

Abstract:     
With the emergence of cultural issues onto the national political agenda in the 1960s came an opportunity to classify members of the American public into discrete ideological groups beyond "liberals" and "conservatives." Using ANES survey data from all presidential election years between 1960 and 2008, I demonstrate that political attitudes are structured in terms of multiple dimensions, that these dimensions help us consistently classify four ideological groups (liberals, conservatives, libertarians, and communitarian populists), and that these ideological groups do not all play the same role in electoral politics. Liberals and conservatives are the core supporters of the Democratic and Republican Parties, respectively, and have increased in partisan loyalty since the sixties. Libertarians and communitarian populists, on the other hand, have been more prone to splitting support within elections and fluctuating in levels of partisan support across elections, despite apparently not differing much in attachment to the parties as compared to liberals and conservatives.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 40

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Date posted: August 1, 2011 ; Last revised: August 4, 2011

Suggested Citation

Abramyan, Hovannes, Swing Voters or Core Partisans? Ideological Groups and the Vote for President, 1960-2008 (2011). APSA 2011 Annual Meeting Paper. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1901768

Contact Information

Hovannes Abramyan (Contact Author)
University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Department of Political Science ( email )
405 Hilgard Avenue
Box 951361
Los Angeles, CA 90095
United States
affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )
No Address Available
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