Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=1916823
 
 

References (30)



 


 



The Golden Mean, the Arab Spring and a 10-Step Analysis of American Economic History


Scott A Albers


University of Missouri School of Law; Attorney-at-Law

Andrew L. Albers


Montana State University - Bozeman

July 21, 2011

The Middle East Studies Online Journal, Forthcoming

Abstract:     
The Long-Wave theories of Nikolai Kondratiev and others claim to find mathematic waves in economic and other social data which are at present in dispute. Currently the theory is considered outside the scope of mainstream economics under several rationales.

Despite the lack of mainstream acceptance, we make a strong case for the existence of long waves in the Real GNP of the United States with a 56 year cycle. Our analysis bypasses many of the issues cited by Long-Wave theory critics and in fact clarifies the mathematical structure of the theory.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 53

Keywords: Real GNP, golden Mean, fibonacci series, Arab spring, phi, long wave, long cycle, Kondratiev Wave, economic forecasting, economic model, global financial crisis, Constitutional Law, American Economic History, revolution, consolidation, GNP Spiral, Okun's Law, 'The Great Moderation”

JEL Classification: B41, B5, C01, C02, C50, C63, E00, E01, E10, E19, E30, N00, N01, N11, Z10, Z13

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Date posted: August 26, 2011  

Suggested Citation

Albers, Scott A and Albers, Andrew L., The Golden Mean, the Arab Spring and a 10-Step Analysis of American Economic History (July 21, 2011). The Middle East Studies Online Journal, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1916823

Contact Information

Scott A Albers (Contact Author)
University of Missouri School of Law ( email )
Missouri Avenue & Conley Avenue
Columbia, MO 65211
United States
Attorney-at-Law ( email )
410 Central Avenue Suite 613
Great Falls, MT 59401
United States
406-781-5214 (Phone)
406-453-5901 (Fax)
Andrew L. Albers
Montana State University - Bozeman ( email )
Bozeman, MT 59717-2920
United States
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