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Lock, Stock, and Barrel: A Comprehensive Assessment of the Determinants of Terror


Martin Gassebner


ETH Zurich - KOF Swiss Economic Institute; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research)

Simon Luechinger


University of Lucerne; KOF Swiss Economic Institute

August 30, 2011

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3550

Abstract:     
We assess the robustness of previous findings on the determinants of terrorism. Using extreme bound analysis, the three most comprehensive terrorism datasets, and focusing on the three most commonly analyzed aspects of terrorist activity, i.e., location, victim, and perpetrator, we re-assess the effect of 65 proposed correlates. Evaluating around 13.4 million regressions, we find 18 variables to be robustly associated with the number of incidents occurring in a given country-year, 15 variables with attacks against citizens from a particular country in a given year, and six variables with attacks perpetrated by citizens of a particular country in a given year.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 46

Keywords: causes of terrorism, poverty and terrorism, panel estimations, extreme bounds analysis

JEL Classification: D740, F510, F520, H560, K420

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Date posted: August 30, 2011  

Suggested Citation

Gassebner, Martin and Luechinger, Simon, Lock, Stock, and Barrel: A Comprehensive Assessment of the Determinants of Terror (August 30, 2011). CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3550. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1919487

Contact Information

Martin Gassebner (Contact Author)
ETH Zurich - KOF Swiss Economic Institute ( email )
Weinbergstrasse 35
Zurich, 8092
Switzerland
HOME PAGE: http://www.kof.ethz.ch/chair/
CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research) ( email )
Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany
Simon Luechinger
University of Lucerne ( email )
Hofstrasse 9
P.O. Box 7464
Luzern 7, CH - 6000
Switzerland
KOF Swiss Economic Institute ( email )
Zurich
Switzerland
HOME PAGE: http://www.cer.ethz.ch/sturm/people/lsimon/
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