Abstract

 


 



Construction of Composite Business Cycle Indicators in a Sparse Data Environment


Klaus Abberger


Ifo Institute for Economic Research

Wolfgang Nierhaus


CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research) - Ifo Institute for Economic Research

August 31, 2011

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3557

Abstract:     
Business cycle indicators are important instruments for monitoring economic development. When employing indicators one usually relies on a sound statistical database. This paper deals with indicator development in a sparse data situation. Indicator building is merged with temporal disaggregation, which is often used by statistical offices. The discussed tools are applied in a case study for Abu Dhabi. Because the economy of Abu Dhabi is very dependent on oil, real income reflects the economic situation better than real gross domestic product (GDP). For this reason a measure of real gross domestic income (GDI) was chosen as reference series.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 23

Keywords: business cycle indicators, temporal disaggregation, terms of trade, oil-producing countries

JEL Classification: E010, E320, C220

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Date posted: September 1, 2011  

Suggested Citation

Abberger, Klaus and Nierhaus, Wolfgang, Construction of Composite Business Cycle Indicators in a Sparse Data Environment (August 31, 2011). CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3557. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1920670

Contact Information

Klaus Abberger (Contact Author)
Ifo Institute for Economic Research ( email )
Poschingerstr. 5
Munich
Germany
Wolfgang Nierhaus
CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research) - Ifo Institute for Economic Research ( email )
Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, 01069
Germany
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