Construction of Composite Business Cycle Indicators in a Sparse Data Environment
Ifo Institute for Economic Research
CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research) - Ifo Institute for Economic Research
August 31, 2011
CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3557
Business cycle indicators are important instruments for monitoring economic development. When employing indicators one usually relies on a sound statistical database. This paper deals with indicator development in a sparse data situation. Indicator building is merged with temporal disaggregation, which is often used by statistical offices. The discussed tools are applied in a case study for Abu Dhabi. Because the economy of Abu Dhabi is very dependent on oil, real income reflects the economic situation better than real gross domestic product (GDP). For this reason a measure of real gross domestic income (GDI) was chosen as reference series.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 23
Keywords: business cycle indicators, temporal disaggregation, terms of trade, oil-producing countries
JEL Classification: E010, E320, C220working papers series
Date posted: September 1, 2011
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