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Equity YieldsJules H. Van BinsbergenStanford University - Graduate School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Wouter HueskesAPG Asset Management Ralph S. J. KoijenLondon Business School - Department of Finance; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Evert B. VrugtVU University Amsterdam, PGO-IM March 14, 2012 Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 11-33 Fama-Miller Working Paper Abstract: We study a new data set of dividend derivatives with maturities up to 10 years across three world regions: the US, Europe, and Japan. We use these asset prices to construct equity yields, analogous to bond yields. We decompose the equity yields to obtain a term structure of expected dividend growth rates and a term structure of risk premia, which decomposes the equity risk premium by maturity. We find that the slope of the term structure of risk premia is pro-cyclical, whereas the slope of the term structure of expected dividend growth rates is counter-cyclical. The comovement of yields across regions is on average higher for long-maturity yields than for short-maturity yields, whereas the variation in this comovement is much higher for short-maturity yields.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 51 working papers seriesDate posted: September 8, 2011 ; Last revised: March 15, 2012Suggested CitationContact Information
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