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An Improved Moving Average Technical Trading Rule

Fotis Papailias

Queen's University Management School

Dimitrios D. Thomakos

University of Peloponnese - School of Management and Economics

September 11, 2011

This paper proposes a modified version of the widely used price and moving average cross-over trading strategies. The suggested approach (presented in its 'long only' version) is a combination of cross-over 'buy' signals and a dynamic threshold value which acts as a dynamic trailing stop. The trading behavior and performance from this modified strategy is different from the standard approach with results showing that, on average, the proposed modification increases the cumulative return and the Sharpe ratio of the investor while exhibiting smaller maximum drawdown and smaller drawdown duration than the standard strategy.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 39

Keywords: Dow Jones, ETF, Exchange Rate, Moving average, Price cross-over, S&P500, Threshold, Trailing stop, Technical analysis, Technical Trading, Trading strategies

JEL Classification: C00, C10, C50, G00, G11, G14, G15, G17

working papers series

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Date posted: September 13, 2011 ; Last revised: October 16, 2011

Suggested Citation

Papailias, Fotis and Thomakos, Dimitrios D., An Improved Moving Average Technical Trading Rule (September 11, 2011). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1926376 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1926376

Contact Information

Fotis Papailias (Contact Author)
Queen's University Management School ( email )
Riddel Hall
185 Stranmillis Road
Belfast, BT9 5EE
United Kingdom
HOME PAGE: http://www.quantf.com
Dimitrios D. Thomakos
University of Peloponnese - School of Management and Economics ( email )
Department of Economics
22100 Tripolis
+30 2710 230139 (Fax)
HOME PAGE: http://econ.uop.gr/~thomakos
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References:  17
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