Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=1938069
 
 

References (37)



 
 

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Evaluating Environmental Policies Under Uncertainty Through Application of Robust Nonlinear Programming


Graeme J. Doole


University of Western Australia - School of Agricultural and Resource Economics

David J. Pannell


University of Western Australia

October 2011

Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Vol. 55, Issue 4, pp. 469-486, 2011

Abstract:     
Environmental policy evaluation is characterised by a paucity of information. The novel technique of robust mathematical programming is introduced as a means to proactively account for this uncertainty in policy analysis. The procedure allows identification of expected bounds on the range of abatement costs associated with environmental policy. It also has the advantage of not limiting conclusions to realisations of specific point estimates or probability distributions. Empirical insights are provided in an application to a New Zealand inland lake threatened by nitrate pollution from dairy farming. Overall, this novel framework is demonstrated to have several key advantages, including explicit treatment of severe uncertainty, capacity to bound the range of expected abatement costs accruing to a given policy instrument, and the opportunity to identify robust plans that are immune to parametric variation.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 18

Keywords: nonpoint pollution, policy evaluation, water quality

Accepted Paper Series





Date posted: October 4, 2011  

Suggested Citation

Doole, Graeme J. and Pannell, David J., Evaluating Environmental Policies Under Uncertainty Through Application of Robust Nonlinear Programming (October 2011). Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Vol. 55, Issue 4, pp. 469-486, 2011. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1938069 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8489.2011.00546.x

Contact Information

Graeme J. Doole (Contact Author)
University of Western Australia - School of Agricultural and Resource Economics ( email )
Nedlands, Western Australia 6907
Australia
David J. Pannell
University of Western Australia ( email )
35 Stirling Highway
Crawley, WA Western Australia 6009
AUSTRALIA
(08) 9844 8659 (Phone)
(08) 9844 8659 (Fax)
HOME PAGE: http://www.general.uwa.edu.au/u/dpannell/welcome.html
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References:  37
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