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Equity Volatility Term Structures and the Cross-Section of Option ReturnsAurelio VasquezInstituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México (ITAM) - Department of Business Administration November 25, 2012 Abstract: The slope of the implied volatility term structure is positively related with future option returns. We rank fi rms based on the slope of the volatility term structure and analyze the returns for five different option trading strategies. Option portfolios with high slopes of the volatility term structure outperform option portfolios with low slopes by an economically and statistically signi ficant amount. The results are robust to different empirical setups and are not explained by well-known market, size, book-to-market, or momentum factors. Additional higher-order option-related factors, volatility risk remiums, jump risk, and existing option anomalies cannot explain the large option returns.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 39 Keywords: Equity Options, Volatility Term Structure, Implied Volatility, Predictability, Cross-Section JEL Classification: C21, G13, G14 working papers seriesDate posted: October 14, 2011 ; Last revised: February 22, 2013Suggested CitationContact Information
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