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Job Stability Trends, Lay‐Offs, and Transitions to Unemployment in West GermanyAnnette Bergmannaffiliation not provided to SSRN Antje MertensBerlin School of Economics and Law December 2011 LABOUR, Vol. 25, Issue 4, pp. 421-446, 2011 Abstract: This paper examines the evolution of different aspects of job stability, notably the termination reasons and the transition states. We estimate Semi‐Parametric Cox Hazard Models with competing risks for West Germany and find an increasing hazard of job ending that is driven by an increasing hazard of being laid off, primarily. One explanation found is that men with fixed‐term contracts face increasing risks of being displaced. In accordance with the technological change hypothesis we also find that men with a high degree of non‐routine interactive tasks face a declining risk of displacement.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 26 Keywords: J63, C41 Accepted Paper SeriesDate posted: October 29, 2011Suggested CitationContact Information
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