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Job Stability Trends, Lay‐Offs, and Transitions to Unemployment in West Germany


Annette Bergmann


affiliation not provided to SSRN

Antje Mertens


Berlin School of Economics and Law

December 2011

LABOUR, Vol. 25, Issue 4, pp. 421-446, 2011

Abstract:     
This paper examines the evolution of different aspects of job stability, notably the termination reasons and the transition states. We estimate Semi‐Parametric Cox Hazard Models with competing risks for West Germany and find an increasing hazard of job ending that is driven by an increasing hazard of being laid off, primarily. One explanation found is that men with fixed‐term contracts face increasing risks of being displaced. In accordance with the technological change hypothesis we also find that men with a high degree of non‐routine interactive tasks face a declining risk of displacement.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 26

Keywords: J63, C41

Accepted Paper Series


Date posted: October 29, 2011  

Suggested Citation

Bergmann, Annette and Mertens, Antje, Job Stability Trends, Lay‐Offs, and Transitions to Unemployment in West Germany (December 2011). LABOUR, Vol. 25, Issue 4, pp. 421-446, 2011. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1950936 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9914.2011.00525.x

Contact Information

Annette Bergmann (Contact Author)
affiliation not provided to SSRN
No Address Available
Antje Mertens
Berlin School of Economics and Law ( email )
Badensche Strasse 50-51
Berlin, D-10825
Germany
Feedback to SSRN (Beta)


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References:  77

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