The Investment Value of Contrarian Buy-Side Recommendations
University of Houston
Wesley R. Gray
Alpha Architect; Drexel University - LeBow College of Business
Richard A. Price III
Utah State University - Huntsman School of Business
September 17, 2012
We examine a comprehensive set of investment recommendations paired with analyst-specific information from over 1,000 buy-side analysts (predominantly analysts from hedge funds) from the private website SumZero.com. Recommendations from these analysts generate significant returns when the reports are posted to the website. Returns are the most dramatic for contrarian recommendations (i.e., those issued contrary to the sell-side consensus), particularly for buy recommendations. Furthermore, the returns to both buy and sell recommendations drift in the direction of the recommendation. We also explore institutional ownership changes and document a wealth transfer between the broader institutional market and buy-side firms in the sample. Collectively, the evidence suggests buy-side recommendations have investment value. The results also document the importance of new technologies in disseminating information to market participants.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 49
Keywords: Hedge funds, buy-side analysts, sell-side analysts, stock recommendations
JEL Classification: G10, G14
Date posted: December 14, 2011 ; Last revised: October 27, 2013
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