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Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market


Malcolm P. Baker


Harvard Business School; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Jeffrey Wurgler


NYU Stern School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

December 2011

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 21, No. 2, pp. 129-151, Spring 2007
NYU Working Paper No. FIN-11-026

Abstract:     
The history of the stock market is full of events striking enough to earn their own names: the Great Crash of 1929, the ’Tronics Boom of the early 1960s, the Go-Go Years of the late 1960s, the Nifty Fifty bubble of the early 1970s, the Black Monday crash of October 1987, and the Internet or Dot.com bubble of the 1990s. Each of these events refers to a dramatic level or change in stock prices that seems to defy explanation. The standard finance model, in which unemotional investors always force capital market prices to equal the rational present value of expected future cash flows, has considerable difficulty fitting these patterns. Researchers in behavioral finance have therefore been working to augment the standard model with an alternative model built on two basic assumptions.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 23

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Date posted: December 15, 2011  

Suggested Citation

Baker, Malcolm P. and Wurgler, Jeffrey A., Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market (December 2011). Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 21, No. 2, pp. 129-151, Spring 2007; NYU Working Paper No. FIN-11-026. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1972797

Contact Information

Malcolm P. Baker
Harvard Business School ( email )
Boston, MA 02163
United States
617-495-6566 (Phone)
HOME PAGE: http://www.people.hbs.edu/mbaker
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
Jeffrey A. Wurgler (Contact Author)
NYU Stern School of Business ( email )
Stern School of Business
44 West 4th Street, Suite 9-190
New York, NY 10012-1126
United States
212-998-0367 (Phone)
212-995-4233 (Fax)
HOME PAGE: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~jwurgler/
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
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