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Fiscal Policy and Growth: Do Financial Crises Make a Difference?


António Afonso


European Central Bank (ECB); ISEG - Technical University of Lisbon

H. P. Gruner


University of Mannheim - Department of Economics; Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Christina Elisabeth Kolerus


University of Mannheim - Center for Doctoral Studies in Economics and Management (CDSEM)

March 25, 2010

Bank of Italy Occasional Paper

Abstract:     
In this paper we assess to what extent in the existence of a financial crisis, government spending can contribute to mitigate economic downturns in the short run and whether such impact differs in crisis and non crisis times. We use panel analysis for a set of OECD and non-OECD countries for the period 1981-2007. The fiscal multiplier for the full sample for instrumented regular and crisis spending is about 0.6-0.8 considering the sample average government spending share of GDP of about one third. Altogether, we cannot reject the hypothesis that crisis spending and regular spending have the same impact using a variation of controls, sub-samples and specifications.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 22

Keywords: fiscal policy, financial crisis, growth, OECD, EU, panel analysis

JEL Classification: C23, E62, E44, F43, H50

working papers series


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Date posted: January 15, 2012  

Suggested Citation

Afonso, António, Gruner, H. P. and Kolerus, Christina Elisabeth, Fiscal Policy and Growth: Do Financial Crises Make a Difference? (March 25, 2010). Bank of Italy Occasional Paper. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1985203 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1985203

Contact Information

António Afonso (Contact Author)
European Central Bank (ECB)
Kaiserstrasse 29
Frankfurt am Main, D-60311
Germany
ISEG - Technical University of Lisbon
R. Miguel Lupi, 20
Lisbon, 1200
Portugal
Hans Peter Grüner
University of Mannheim - Department of Economics ( email )
D-68131 Mannheim
Germany
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany
Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
77 Bastwick Street
London, EC1V 3PZ
United Kingdom
Christina Elisabeth Kolerus
University of Mannheim - Center for Doctoral Studies in Economics and Management (CDSEM) ( email )
Mannheim, D-68131
Germany
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