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Consumers Can Make Decisions in as Little as a Third of a Second


Milica Milosavljevic Mormann


California Institute of Technology

Christof Koch


California Institute of Technology

Antonio Rangel


Stanford Graduate School of Business

August 1, 2011

Judgment and Decision Making, Vol. 6, No. 6, pp. 520-530, 2011

Abstract:     
We make hundreds of decisions every day, many of them extremely quickly and without much explicit deliberation. This motivates two important open questions: What is the minimum time required to make choices with above chance accuracy? What is the impact of additional decision making time on choice accuracy? We investigated these questions in four experiments in which subjects made binary food choices using saccadic or manual responses, under either “speed” or “accuracy” instructions. Subjects were able to make above chance decisions in as little as 313 ms, and choose their preferred food item in over 70% of trials at average speeds of 404 ms. Further, slowing down their responses by either asking them explicitly to be confident about their choices, or to respond with hand movements, generated about a 10% increase in accuracy. Together, these results suggest that consumers can make accurate every-day choices, akin to those made in a grocery store, at significantly faster speeds than previously reported.

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Date posted: February 5, 2012  

Suggested Citation

Mormann, Milica Milosavljevic, Koch, Christof and Rangel, Antonio, Consumers Can Make Decisions in as Little as a Third of a Second (August 1, 2011). Judgment and Decision Making, Vol. 6, No. 6, pp. 520-530, 2011. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1998456

Contact Information

Mili Milosavljevic Mormann (Contact Author)
California Institute of Technology ( email )
Pasadena, CA 91125
United States
Christof Koch
California Institute of Technology ( email )
Pasadena, CA 91125
United States
Antonio Rangel
Stanford Graduate School of Business ( email )
Landau Economics Building
Stanford, CA 94305-6072
United States
650-723-0533 (Phone)
650-725-5702 (Fax)

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