Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=2010398
 
 

References (20)



 


 



The Decision to Delay Social Security Benefits: Theory and Evidence


John B. Shoven


Stanford University - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Sita N. Slavov


American Enterprise Institute; Occidental College - Department of Economics

February 2012

NBER Working Paper No. w17866

Abstract:     
Social Security benefits may be commenced at any time between age 62 and age 70. As individuals who claim later can, on average, expect to receive benefits for a shorter period, an actuarial adjustment is made to the monthly benefit amount to reflect the age at which benefits are claimed. We investigate the actuarial fairness of this adjustment. Our simulations suggest that delaying is actuarially advantageous for a large subset of people, particularly for real interest rates of 3.5 percent or below. The gains from delaying are greater at lower interest rates, for married couples relative to singles, for single women relative to single men, and for two-earner couples relative to one-earner couples. In a two-earner couple, the gains from deferring the primary earner’s benefit are greater than the gains from deferring the secondary earner’s benefit. We then use panel data from the Health and Retirement Study to investigate whether individuals’ actual claiming behavior appears to be influenced by the degree of actuarial advantage to delaying. We find no evidence of a consistent relationship between claiming behavior and factors that influence the actuarial advantage of delay, including gender and marital status, interest rates, subjective discount rates, or subjective assessments of life expectancy.

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Number of Pages in PDF File: 50

working papers series


Date posted: February 24, 2012  

Suggested Citation

Shoven, John B. and Slavov, Sita N., The Decision to Delay Social Security Benefits: Theory and Evidence (February 2012). NBER Working Paper No. w17866. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2010398

Contact Information

John B. Shoven (Contact Author)
Stanford University - Department of Economics ( email )
Landau Economics Building
579 Serra Mall
Stanford, CA 94305-6072
United States
650-326-5377 (Phone)
650-328-4163 (Fax)
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
Sita N. Slavov
American Enterprise Institute ( email )
1150 17th Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20036
United States
HOME PAGE: http://www.aei.org/scholar/sita-nataraj-slavov/
Occidental College - Department of Economics ( email )
Los Angeles, CA 90041
United States
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