Forecasting Financial Statements Using Risk Management Associates Industry Data
University of Hawaii at Hilo - Department of Business Administration
James E. Briley
Northeastern State University
The Institute for Business and Finance Research
February 25, 2012
Business Education and Accreditation, Vol. 4, No. 1, pp. 123-134, 2012
Finance professionals must frequently forecast financial statements. The common practice for forecasting financial statements is to apply the percentage of sales method. In this paper, we develop a new method for forecasting financial statements based data available from The Risk Management Association. This method offers three advantages over the percentage of sales method. First, it specifies the appropriate percentages for each account using industry average data. Second, it allows the developer to use any figure in the income statement or balance sheet as a starting point. For example, an investor who knows only that they have $100,000 available to start a company can forecast a balance sheet and income statement. Third, the percentage of sales method applies only to the income statement, while the method developed here allows estimation of both the income statement and balance sheet. Statements produced using the technique presented here are easily defendable to skeptical bankers.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 12
Keywords: Financial Statements, RMA, Forecasting, Banking, Entrepreneurship
JEL Classification: A22, A23, C52, C53, C58Accepted Paper Series
Date posted: February 26, 2012 ; Last revised: April 1, 2012
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