The Illusion of Predictability: A Call to Action
John Keith Ord
Georgetown University, Robert Emmett McDonough School of Business
March 5, 2012
International Journal of Forecasting, Forthcoming
The commentary recommends a plot of the probability of a positive outcome as a tool for improving the interpretation of regression models in a forecasting context.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 4
Keywords: forecasting, prediction intervals
JEL Classification: C53Accepted Paper Series
Date posted: March 6, 2012
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