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The Illusion of Predictability: A Call to Action


John Keith Ord


Georgetown University, Robert Emmett McDonough School of Business
March 5, 2012

International Journal of Forecasting, Forthcoming

Abstract:     
The commentary recommends a plot of the probability of a positive outcome as a tool for improving the interpretation of regression models in a forecasting context.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 4

Keywords: forecasting, prediction intervals

JEL Classification: C53

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Date posted: March 6, 2012  

Suggested Citation

Ord, John Keith, The Illusion of Predictability: A Call to Action (March 5, 2012). International Journal of Forecasting, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2016195

Contact Information

John Keith Ord (Contact Author)
Georgetown University, Robert Emmett McDonough School of Business ( email )
Washington, DC 20057
United States
Feedback to SSRN (Beta)


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