Population-Ageing, Structural Change and Productivity Growth
University of Hagen (Fernuniversitaet in Hagen)
University of Hagen (Fernuniversitaet Hagen)
February 12, 2012
Population-ageing is one of the traditional topics of development and growth theory and a key challenge to most modern societies. We focus on the following aspect: Population-ageing is associated with changes in demand-structure, since demand-patterns change with increasing age. This process induces structural changes (factor-reallocations across technologically heterogeneous sectors) and, thus, has impacts on average productivity growth. We provide a neoclassical multi-sector growth-model for analyzing these aspects and elaborate potential policy-impact channels. We show that ageing has permanent and complex/multifaceted impacts on the growth rate of the economy and could, therefore, be an important determinant of long-run GDP-growth.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 63
Keywords: Population-ageing, demand shifts, reallocation of factors, cross-sector technology-disparity, GDP-growth, multi-sector growth models, neoclassical growth models, structural change
JEL Classification: J11, O14, O41
Date posted: March 12, 2012
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