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Can Equity Volatility Explain the Global Loan Pricing Puzzle?Lewis GaulOffice of the Comptroller of the Currency Pinar UysalEPFL- Chair of International Finance January 11, 2013 Abstract: In this paper we hypothesize that unobservable differences in firm volatility are responsible for the difference in syndicated corporate loan spreads paid by U.S. and European firms. To explore this hypothesis, we examine whether equity volatility, an error prone measure of firm volatility in financial markets, can explain the difference in syndicated corporate loan spreads paid by U.S. and European borrowers. We argue that controlling for equity volatility in OLS regressions will result in biased and inconsistent estimates of the difference in U.S. and European loan spreads because the error in measuring firm volatility with equity volatility will produce biased and inconsistent coefficient estimates for any variable correlated with firm volatility. Therefore, we use instrumental variables methods to solve the measurement error problem and identify consistent estimates of the difference in U.S. and European loan spreads. In our instrumental variable results, we find no statistically significant difference in U.S. and European loan spreads.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 90 Keywords: syndicated loans, equity volatility, loan spread JEL Classification: E40, G12, G15, G21 working papers seriesDate posted: March 19, 2012 ; Last revised: January 15, 2013Suggested Citation |
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