War and Presidential Greatness

David R. Henderson

Naval Postgraduate School

Zachary Gochenour

George Mason University - Department of Economics

March 26, 2012

Independent Review 17:4, 2013

Historians and journalists commonly survey other historians on the relative 'greatness' of American presidents, and these rankings show remarkable consistency between surveys. In this paper we consider commonalities between highly ranked presidents and compare plausible determinants of greatness according to historians. We find that a strong predictor of greatness is the fraction of American lives lost in war during a president’s tenure. We find this predictor to be robust and compare favorably to other predictors used in previous historical research. We discuss potential reasons for this correlation and conclude with a discussion of how historians’ views might affect policy.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 20

Keywords: American history, presidency, American economic history

JEL Classification: N4, H56

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Date posted: March 28, 2012 ; Last revised: August 29, 2013

Suggested Citation

Henderson, David R. and Gochenour, Zachary, War and Presidential Greatness (March 26, 2012). Independent Review 17:4, 2013. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2029774 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2029774

Contact Information

David R. Henderson
Naval Postgraduate School ( email )
555 Dyer Road
Monterey, CA 93943
United States
Zachary Gochenour (Contact Author)
George Mason University - Department of Economics ( email )
4400 University Drive
Fairfax, VA 22030
United States
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