Changes in Gasoline Prices and Consumer Sentiment
Mark A. Johnson
Loyola University Maryland
Douglas J. Lamdin
University of Maryland, Baltimore County (UMBC) - Department of Economics
January 1, 2012
Journal of Applied Business and Economics, Forthcoming
Volatile gasoline prices are frequently mentioned in the press. Using more than thirty years of consumer sentiment data, we analyze the relationship between changes in gasoline prices and its impact on consumer sentiment. We find a negative relationship between changes in gasoline prices and its impact on consumer sentiment, suggesting that as gasoline prices rise (fall), this negatively (positively) impacts consumer sentiment. Additionally, causality analysis provides support that changes in gasoline prices leads consumer sentiment and changes in consumer sentiment. Our results are consistent with the documented fact that the demand for gasoline by consumers is inelastic in the short-run.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 10
Keywords: consumer sentiment, gasoline prices, causality tests
JEL Classification: Q41, C2
Date posted: April 4, 2012 ; Last revised: June 12, 2013
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