Reexamining Policies for Food Security in Asia
University of Adelaide - Centre for International Economic Studies (CIES); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); World Bank Group - International Trade Unit
Asian Development Bank
affiliation not provided to SSRN
University of Waikato
February 1, 2012
Asian Development Bank Economics Working Paper Series No. 301
In the wake of recent food price spikes, plus growing demands for food in emerging Asia and for biofuels in Europe and the United States, governments are reexamining their strategies for dealing with both short-term and long-term food security concerns. This paper argues that long-run trends in real agricultural prices have policy implications for food security that are at least as important as those related to short-lived spikes around trend prices. The paper therefore summarizes recent projections of markets to 2030 under various scenarios, and then reviews evidence on how trade policy restrictions typically are altered to insulate domestic markets from short-run fluctuations in international prices around their long-run trends. That provides a firm empirical basis for reexamining the effectiveness and efficiency of various policy options for ensuring food security in Asia and elsewhere. Those options include boosting agricultural productivity growth rates to deal with long-run concerns, and using more appropriate domestic policy measures rather than trade policies to cope with price volatility.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 49
Keywords: food security, food price volatility, food policy, food prices, pricing trends, agricultural productivity, agricultural prices, long-term food price trends, agricultural productivity, asian economic growth and structural changes, per capita food consumption
JEL Classification: F13, F15, F17, Q17, Q18working papers series
Date posted: May 29, 2012
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