Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=2094510
 
 

References (16)



 


 



The VIX Futures Basis: Evidence and Trading Strategies


David P. Simon


Bentley University - Department of Finance

Jim Campasano


University of Massachusetts at Amherst - Isenberg School of Management

June 27, 2012


Abstract:     
This study demonstrates that the VIX futures basis does not have significant forecast power for the change in the VIX spot index from 2006 through 2011 but does have forecast power for subsequent VIX futures returns. The study then demonstrates the profitability of shorting VIX futures contracts when the basis is in contango and buying VIX futures contracts when the basis is in backwardation with the market exposure of these positions hedged with mini-S&P 500 futures positions. The results indicate that these trading strategies are highly profitable and robust to transaction costs, out of sample hedge ratio forecasts and risk management rules. Overall, the analysis supports the view that the VIX futures basis does not accurately reflect the mean-reverting properties of the VIX spot index but rather reflects a risk premium that can be harvested.

Keywords: Vix futures, trading strategies, term structure

JEL Classification: G13, G12

working papers series


Not Available For Download

Date posted: June 28, 2012  

Suggested Citation

Simon, David P. and Campasano, Jim, The VIX Futures Basis: Evidence and Trading Strategies (June 27, 2012). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2094510 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2094510

Contact Information

David P. Simon (Contact Author)
Bentley University - Department of Finance ( email )
175 Forest Street
Waltham, MA 02154
United States
781-891-2489 (Phone)
781-891-2896 (Fax)
Jim Campasano
University of Massachusetts at Amherst - Isenberg School of Management ( email )
Amherst, MA 01003-4910
United States
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