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New Insights into Optimal Control of Nonlinear Dynamic Econometric Models: Application of a Heuristic Approach


Ivan Savin


DFG Research Training Program "The Economics of Innovative Change", Friedrich Schiller University and the Max Planck Institute of Economics

V. Blueschke-Nikolaeva


affiliation not provided to SSRN

D. Blueschke


affiliation not provided to SSRN

2012

Jena Economic Research Papers 2012-008

Abstract:     
Optimal control of dynamic econometric models has a wide variety of applications including economic policy relevant issues. There are several algorithms extending the basic case of a linear-quadratic optimization and taking nonlinearity and stochastics into account, but being still limited in a variety of ways, e.g., symmetry of the objective function and identical data frequencies of control variables. To overcome these problems, an alternative approach based on heuristics is suggested. To this end, we apply a 'classical' algorithm (OPTCON) and a heuristic approach (Differential Evolution) to three different econometric models and compare their performance. In this paper we consider scenarios of symmetric and asymmetric quadratic objective functions. Results provide a strong support for the heuristic approach encouraging its further application to optimum control problems.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 32

Keywords: differential evolution, dynamic programming, nonlinear optimization, optimal control

JEL Classification: C54, C61, E27, E61, E62

working papers series


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Date posted: July 13, 2012  

Suggested Citation

Savin, Ivan, Blueschke-Nikolaeva, V. and Blueschke, D., New Insights into Optimal Control of Nonlinear Dynamic Econometric Models: Application of a Heuristic Approach (2012). Jena Economic Research Papers 2012-008. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2104438 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2104438

Contact Information

Ivan Savin (Contact Author)
DFG Research Training Program "The Economics of Innovative Change", Friedrich Schiller University and the Max Planck Institute of Economics ( email )
V. Blueschke-Nikolaeva
affiliation not provided to SSRN
D. Blueschke
affiliation not provided to SSRN
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